New research from global marketing and tech services company DEPT®, surveying over 4,000 consumers across the US, UK, Germany, Netherlands, and Australia, reveals how aggressive trade policies and growing uncertainty are reshaping consumer behaviour, and what brands must do to keep pace.
The DEPT® NavigatorIQ study, launched alongside its Strategic Navigator global think tank, finds that while uncertainty is universal, people's responses are deeply local. From shifting loyalty to rising demand for transparency, the data makes clear that tariffs aren’t just an economic issue; they’re a brand issue.
“Uncertainty has gone global, but consumer reactions are far from uniform,” said Andrew Dimitriou, global chief client and growth officer. “What reassures a shopper in Berlin might frustrate one in Boston. That’s why brands need real-time intelligence and real-world agility to stay ahead. Our NavigatorIQ global study will gauge consumer sentiment over the next few months as we help our clients turn these insights into action.”
The NavigatorIQ survey asks consumers how they expect tariffs to affect their spending, what kinds of brand messaging resonates right now, and how rising prices or delays would influence their purchasing decisions. It also explores whether consumers are shifting toward local brands, how they define brand trust, and which product categories are most vulnerable to trade-driven disruption.
The study found that loyalty is more fragile and conditional than expected. Brands assume consumers will tolerate moderate price hikes if they like the product. However, even modest price increases can trigger brand switching in multiple markets, especially the Netherlands and the US. And yet, 67% of U.S. consumers said they’d accept a price hike if the reason is clearly explained. It’s not just the cost increase that drives consumers away; it’s the lack of context. Clear communication can preserve loyalty better than discounts alone.
In the US, consumers are bracing for personal impact: 72% say they expect to feel tariff-related effects directly, with 48% ready to switch brands over price hikes and 44% planning to seek more deals. Still, 67% would accept increases if brands are transparent about the reasons.
In Germany and the UK, tone matters just as much as pricing. 45% of German
respondents want brand messaging to be clear and informative, while 43% of Brits prefer a calm and honest tone. Only 9% of U.K. consumers favor upbeat or humorous messaging during economic uncertainty.
In the Netherlands, pragmatism prevails: 54% would trade down to cheaper products if prices rise, and 39% say they’d stop buying altogether.
In Australia, domestic loyalty is climbing: Over 70% of consumers are more likely to buy from local brands, driven by national pride and a desire for economic stability, especially in essential categories like groceries and apparel.
Despite regional nuances, one theme spans all markets: Communication is currency. Consumers respond best when brands communicate early and honestly about delays, cost changes, or broader market shifts.
These findings are just the beginning. At Cannes Lions 2025, DEPT® will bring NavigatorIQ to life in its Secret Garden, a curated space for brand, tech, and culture leaders to go beyond the headlines and into what’s next. Each day, DEPT® will host “Lunch with the Strategic Navigators,” small group discussions and private chats with clients about the potential impact of economic uncertainty, and opportunities to act now.
Throughout the week, DEPT®’s Secret Garden will host daily roundtables and workshops exploring the forces shaping modern marketing, from the ripple effects of tariffs and trade policy to the power of personalisation, AI, and creative commerce. Learn more here.